watchPredexon exactsimilarity 97Crypto
Polymarket
Will Bitcoin close above $100,000 on December 31, 2026?
Predexon exact match.
Kalshi
Will Bitcoin settle above 100,000 on Dec 31, 2026?
Ticker kalshi-btc-100k-2026
Live signal
Current fee-aware opportunity
Net edge
-6c / contract
Projected PnL
-$4.31
Liquidity
100
Fill ratio
100%
Quality notes
Settlement source wording differs slightly; keep under paper-trade review.
Signal rationale
Manual review flag is active because settlement or expiry semantics differ.
Net edge does not clear the configured entry threshold.
Backtest attribution
baseline
$0.00
Baseline 95 / base slippage / 1s hedge
strict
$0.00
Strict 97 / base slippage / 3s hedge
conservative
$0.00
Conservative 98 / high slippage / 5s hedge
fast
$0.00
Fast 95 / low slippage / 0s hedge
Orderbook
Will Bitcoin close above $100,000 on December 31, 2026?
12:25:09 PM
Yes Ask
56c120 contracts
No Ask
45c140 contracts
Orderbook
Will Bitcoin settle above 100,000 on Dec 31, 2026?
12:25:45 PM
Yes Ask
60c95 contracts
No Ask
44c100 contracts