watchPredexon exactsimilarity 95Macro
Polymarket
Will the Fed cut rates by June 2026?
Predexon exact match.
Kalshi
Will the Federal Reserve cut rates at the June 2026 meeting?
Ticker kalshi-fed-cut-2026
Live signal
Current fee-aware opportunity
Net edge
-6c / contract
Projected PnL
-$4.04
Liquidity
70
Fill ratio
93%
Quality notes
June cutoff semantics may diverge by meeting timing and target-rate wording.
Signal rationale
Manual review flag is active because settlement or expiry semantics differ.
Net edge does not clear the configured entry threshold.
Backtest attribution
baseline
$0.00
Baseline 95 / base slippage / 1s hedge
strict
$0.00
Strict 97 / base slippage / 3s hedge
conservative
$0.00
Conservative 98 / high slippage / 5s hedge
fast
$0.00
Fast 95 / low slippage / 0s hedge
Orderbook
Will the Fed cut rates by June 2026?
12:25:01 PM
Yes Ask
49c80 contracts
No Ask
52c65 contracts
Orderbook
Will the Federal Reserve cut rates at the June 2026 meeting?
12:25:37 PM
Yes Ask
53c70 contracts
No Ask
50c70 contracts